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CRO Race — Stage 2

Wednesday, 23 September 2026 114.50 km Biograd na Moru → Novalja 2.Pro
CRO Race stage profile

Stage 2 of the CRO Race covers 114.5 kilometres from Biograd na Moru to Novalja, classified as a hilly stage with a flat finish. The route's undulating character will likely thin the peloton before a sprint or reduced group kicks off the run-in, favouring riders who combine hills strength with a punchy finishing speed. At 2.Pro level, the field is competitive but opens the door for breakaway specialists and punch-finish experts alike.

★★★★ Top Favorite

Paul Magnier stands alone at the top of this selection. Four wins in similar-profile races recently — including both stages 1 and 2 of the Tour de Slovaquie, stage 5 of the Deutschland Tour, and stage 1 of the Cyclassics Hamburg — paint a picture of a rider in exceptional form on exactly this type of parcours. His ability to survive punchy climbs and then unleash a strong sprint makes him the most dangerous rider in Novalja.

FR flag
Paul
Magnier
Soudal Quick-Step
OVR
78
Soudal Quick-Step
CLI
60
HIL
74
SPR
80
TT
65
COB
73
Paul Magnier is the standout favorite for this hilly stage with a flat finish: his recent form in similar-profile races is exceptional, with wins at stage 1 and stage 2 of the Tour de Slovaquie, stage 5 of the Deutschland Tour, and stage 1 of the Cyclassics Hamburg — four victories that demonstrate he can handle punchy finishes after demanding terrain. His sprint and hills combination makes him the most dangerous rider in this field on a course that suits a strong finisher who can survive selective climbs.

★★★ Strong Contenders

Benoît Cosnefroy and Andrea Bagioli both bring recent wins in similar-profile races and the physical tools to match. Cosnefroy's win at stage 1 of the Coppa Sabatini and Bagioli's triumph at stage 4 of the Tour of Austria demonstrate they can handle the blend of hills and a flat run-in. Either could spoil Magnier's day if they arrive at the line in a small group.

IT flag
Andrea
Bagioli
Lidl-Trek
OVR
76
Lidl-Trek
CLI
72
HIL
77
SPR
69
TT
69
COB
71
Andrea Bagioli arrives at the CRO Race with a win at stage 4 of the Tour of Austria in a similar-profile race recently, showing he can deliver on hilly terrain with a manageable finale. His all-around card — strong in hills, solid time trial, and reasonable sprint — makes him a genuine threat for the stage victory.
FR flag
Benoît
Cosnefroy
UAE Emirates
OVR
75
UAE Emirates
CLI
64
HIL
77
SPR
69
TT
65
COB
72
Benoît Cosnefroy is among the most well-rounded riders in this field, with top-tier hills ability and a win at stage 1 of the Coppa Sabatini in similar-profile races recently, backed by two top-3s and four top-5s in comparable events. UAE Emirates' strength around him adds tactical flexibility, and he has the punch to contest a reduced sprint after a hilly day.

★★ Dark Horses

Rui Oliveira, Tim Torn Teutenberg, and Ilan Van Wilder form a credible second tier. Oliveira and Teutenberg both have recent wins in similar-profile races and strong sprint finishes in reduced groups; Van Wilder's exceptional all-around profile — outstanding in hills, climbing, and time trial — means he can shape the race tactically and benefit from any scenario. All three are genuine podium threats.

BE flag
Ilan
Van Wilder
Soudal Quick-Step
OVR
77
Soudal Quick-Step
CLI
77
HIL
77
SPR
69
TT
77
COB
70
Ilan Van Wilder boasts one of the most complete profiles in this startlist — outstanding across hills, climbing, and time trial — making him well-suited to a hilly stage that could see early selections before a flat run-in. Though he lacks recent wins in similar-profile races, three top-10s and a high baseline across all relevant attributes keep him firmly in contention.
PT flag
Rui
Oliveira
UAE Emirates
OVR
74
UAE Emirates
CLI
62
HIL
73
SPR
75
TT
66
COB
72
Rui Oliveira has been in fine recent form, winning stage 11 of the Volta a Portugal in a similar-profile race and accumulating four top-5s in comparable events. His sprint advantage over many rivals in a reduced front group makes him a legitimate dark horse for the flat finish.
DE flag
Tim Torn
Teutenberg
Lidl-Trek
OVR
74
Lidl-Trek
CLI
62
HIL
72
SPR
75
TT
70
COB
70
Tim Torn Teutenberg claimed victory at stage 1 of the Philadelphia Cycling Class p/b AmeriGas ME recently in a similar-profile race, with two top-3s and four top-5s in comparable events underlining his consistency. He has the sprint and hills to be a serious danger if the stage comes down to a select group finish.

Ones to Watch

Antonio Tiberi, Daniel Felipe Martínez, Danny van Poppel, and Edoardo Zambanini round out the selection as riders to watch. Tiberi and Martínez have the climbing and hills attributes to benefit from a harder day, while Van Poppel's raw sprint is a weapon if the finish opens up. Zambanini's quiet consistency in similar-profile races makes him an underrated option if Bahrain Victorious can control the finale.

IT flag
Antonio
Tiberi
Bahrain Victorious
OVR
76
Bahrain Victorious
CLI
77
HIL
76
SPR
69
TT
75
COB
65
Antonio Tiberi is a Legendary-rarity rider with elite climbing and strong hills credentials, and his three top-10s in similar-profile races recently show he can stay in contention on demanding terrain. He may struggle if the finale is truly flat and the sprint opens up, but any split on the climbs would play into his hands.
CO flag
Daniel Felipe
Martínez
Red Bull - BORA
OVR
75
Red Bull - BORA
CLI
76
HIL
76
SPR
65
TT
74
COB
66
Daniel Felipe Martínez has excellent all-around qualities for a hilly day — strong in hills, climbing, and time trial — and represents Red Bull - BORA's main card for the overall. His lack of wins in similar-profile races recently is a concern, but his raw suitability to the parcours makes him one to watch.
NL flag
Danny
van Poppel
Red Bull - BORA
OVR
76
Red Bull - BORA
CLI
63
HIL
73
SPR
77
TT
64
COB
74
Danny van Poppel is the prototypical fast finisher whose best chance depends on whether the peloton comes back together on the flat run-in to Novalja; two top-3s in similar-profile races recently confirm he can deliver in those scenarios. His sprint is among the best in this field but the hills preceding the finish represent a real obstacle.
IT flag
Edoardo
Zambanini
Bahrain Victorious
OVR
75
Bahrain Victorious
CLI
74
HIL
76
SPR
70
TT
70
COB
66
Edoardo Zambanini has been quietly consistent in similar-profile races recently, notching two top-5s, and his hills credentials are among the stronger ones in the Bahrain Victorious team. A breakaway scenario or a selective day in the climbs could bring him into contention as a well-rounded puncheur.

Verdict

Paul Magnier is the clear favourite, carrying momentum from four recent wins in similar-profile races and the sprint punch to convert on a flat finale after a selective day; Benoît Cosnefroy and Andrea Bagioli are the strongest challengers, both having won recently in comparable terrain and carrying the versatility to contest any style of finish.

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